#PREMIER DRAFT VS QUICK DRAFT FULL#
#PREMIER DRAFT VS QUICK DRAFT FREE#

Let’s see what happens when we look at the EV table one last time but with these factors involved. But we’re still missing two pieces of data: the rares we drafted as prizes and the cost of entry. That seems like a pretty clear indicator that I should be playing Premier Drafts if I think I can manage three wins every time. Ikoria Premier Draft, my expected value at a 3-3 record is 5.14 rares for Premier Draft and 2.39 rares for Quick Draft. So what if we take those gem prizes and convert them into a number of rares based on earning 3.46 rares in a Quick Draft and 5.29 rares in a Premier Draft?īased on my personal stats in Theros Quick Draft vs. That’s very nearly double in both respects. Since Ikoria was released, I’ve done seven drafts and I’m averaging 5.29 rares and 0.57 mythic rares. This was obviously all quick drafts against bots.

#PREMIER DRAFT VS QUICK DRAFT FULL#

That’s about one full rare higher than expected-not too bad. When I was drafting Theros, over the course of almost 20 drafts I averaged 3.46 rares and 0.31 mythic rares per draft (these numbers are tracked in the spreadsheet for you). What if the average number of rares you pull isn’t the same in each format? But let me throw a pretty wild wrench in the works here.

If you find that you’re often falling short of that mark, then you’re probably getting more value out of Quick Drafts. So 10% of that payout is 0.27 rares, which means its less than 0.61 rares and if you average 2 wins per draft, Quick draft has more value.įrom this chart we can pretty easily say this: Based on gems and packs, if you can consistently clear the three win bar-essentially a 50% win rate-then you should absolutely be playing Premier Drafts instead of Quick Drafts. You’ll statistically open a mythic rare in every third draft you do, so technically this number is at least 2.65. This number is usually at least three because on average we’re opening three rares in every draft. Which one is worth more? That brings us to the final prize: the number of rares we open. At two wins we get 10% more of our next draft cost with Quick Draft but 0.61 more rares with Premier Draft. At seven wins, this shows us that Premier Draft gives us 20% more of the cost of our next draft in gems and 3.2 more expected rares (wow) in packs.Īt every level except for two wins there’s a clear preference. At zero wins, this shows us that Quick Draft gives us 4% more of the cost of our next draft in gems and 0.16 more expected rares from packs. Column D shows us which format gives us better gems as the difference in the percentage of the cost of our next draft, while column G shows us which format gives us better packs represented by the difference in expected rares. This table shows the first two rewards, gems and packs, compared between Premier and Quick draft for every number of wins you can finish with. That seems to give the advantage to Premier Draft, no? Well it depends on how many wins you can muster consistently. If you enter a Quick Draft and finish with three wins and three losses you win the following prizes: 300 gems (40% of a draft), 1.24 packs (0.992 rares), and all the rares you drafted.

Rares that we opened during the draft which increase the size of our collectionįor example, if you enter a Premier Draft and finish with three wins and three losses you win the following prizes: 1,000 gems (66.7% of a draft), 2 packs (1.6 rares), and all the rares you drafted.

Booster packs which will eventually be opened all at once to finish our collection.

Gems which are used to pay for future drafts.

Limited events have three types of prizes that we’re interested in: The magic number is 212 rares, four copies of every rare that appears in booster packs. The goal is to get every rare as cheaply as possible so we can be fully loaded to play whatever constructed formats or events float our boat. When we’re looking at the EV of Limited events, we’re always talking about the number of rares we acquire.

#PREMIER DRAFT VS QUICK DRAFT FREE#

At the time, I hadn’t had enough of an opportunity to fully digest the new format, but now that I have I can talk all about what it means for our free to play plans. The biggest follow-up question I got concerned the newly announced Premier Draft mode. Last week I published my updated MTG Arena free to play guide with the release of Ikoria, along with an updated collection tracking spreadsheet to help everyone do their best to avoid spending money on Magic cards.

Premier draft vs quick draft